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Phonk, Pi, and Bitcoin

Phonk, Pi, and Bitcoin
Photo by Milad Fakurian / Unsplash

A couple things you should be aware of.

Phonk is a ten-ish year old music genre. It emanates from the southern urban United States and takes inspiration from hip hop, and trap but sounds to me techno-infused. It is also characterized by all caps, apparently.

There's a new Raspberry Pi 5 out. If you do not yet have a Pi running at home, I suggest starting with freeing your home network from the plague that is advertisement with Pi-hole.

There are trepidations around Bitcoin Spot ETFs being listed on US markets. Knifefight tells the best story. I listened to Cathie Wood on Bloomberg's Trillions podcast and I was generally unimpressed but I would bet you that each bitcoin ETF issuer has been advertising and roadshowing their product. I suspect there will be a decent pump when the listing eventually happens. More generally, I think an ETF will take us to the next level of adoption. Six digits BTC less than a year after the first ETF is publicly traded. I would expect a bit of toe-dipping by a few institutions. Even such careful behavior would result in lots of volume comparative to what the bitcoin market cap has been. At time of writing, Bitcoin is an $844 Billion market. Gold is almost $14 Trillion. In 2021, pension funds, alone, represented $60 Trillion. Meanwhile this buying pressure would be faced with little selling. Because, well, hodlers don’t sell. Bid > Ask means the price would gap up.

Meanwhile, the fact that there are so many ETFs ready to go means that...

  1. The competition among issuers will be fierce. Giants like BlackRock are in the race. There's a winner-takes-all dynamic here. Maybe this can put downward pressure on the inherent ETF management fee.
  2. There will be confusion at first, leaving some potential buyers on the sideline until a clear high liquidity high volume fund emerges. This could mean a later, second order bidding swell.

It is never too late to buy bitcoin. But I feel we might be on the verge of a step change.